Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

NW TasmaniaHOME · -

76 : 1012024.05.04 · 종료

FrankstonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY58.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +58.4%

VALUE EDGE+58.4%

FAIR ODDS1.71

GRADEA

NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsFrankston

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better +6.33

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.00

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation7.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

41.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

58.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NW Tasmania

W · 84-83W · 98-95L · 105-96L · 91-84L · 71-101

Frankston

L · 88-80W · 95-78L · 67-64L · 93-87W · 92-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.04	NW Tasmania	76 : 101	Frankston
2023.06.03	NW Tasmania	69 : 76	Frankston
2018.05.11	NW Tasmania	87 : 76	Frankston
2016.06.04	Frankston	86 : 58	NW Tasmania
2016.04.30	NW Tasmania	85 : 71	Frankston
2015.08.15	NW Tasmania	92 : 68	Frankston