Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Sandringham SabresHOME · -
85 : 712024.05.04 · 종료
Melbourne TigersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.2%
VALUE EDGE+69.2%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEB
Sandringham SabresAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.25
188.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sandringham Sabres
L · 77-83W · 61-111W · 80-104W · 73-112L · 81-87
Melbourne Tigers
W · 89-81W · 79-89W · 93-94L · 55-87L · 74-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.01 | Melbourne Tigers | 72 : 68 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2026.07.09 | Melbourne Tigers | 97 : 101 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2026.04.16 | Sandringham Sabres | 66 : 81 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.05.04 | Sandringham Sabres | 85 : 71 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2023.07.16 | Melbourne Tigers | 74 : 84 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2023.06.08 | Sandringham Sabres | 99 : 74 | Melbourne Tigers |