Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
88 : 802024.05.03 · 종료
FrankstonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsFrankston
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.00
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
L · 79-88W · 88-79W · 74-84W · 72-81L · 85-93
Frankston
W · 95-78L · 67-64L · 93-87W · 92-74W · 104-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.13 | Frankston | 106 : 102 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2026.03.28 | Hobart Chargers | 87 : 84 | Frankston |
| 2024.07.12 | Frankston | 94 : 75 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.05.03 | Hobart Chargers | 88 : 80 | Frankston |
| 2023.06.02 | Hobart Chargers | 75 : 99 | Frankston |
| 2018.05.12 | Hobart Chargers | 102 : 90 | Frankston |
| 2016.06.26 | Frankston | 75 : 81 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2016.04.29 | Hobart Chargers | 85 : 55 | Frankston |
| 2015.08.14 | Hobart Chargers | 84 : 76 | Frankston |
| 2015.07.10 | Frankston | 68 : 79 | Hobart Chargers |