Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
107 : 1012024.04.28 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsWaverley
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
187.42
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
W · 83-96W · 105-96L · 69-87W · 103-97L · 108-81
Waverley
W · 95-83L · 93-94W · 85-93W · 77-97L · 63-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.21 | Waverley | 86 : 96 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.04.28 | Keilor Thunder | 107 : 101 | Waverley |
| 2023.05.28 | Waverley | 77 : 92 | Keilor Thunder |