Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
84 : 832024.04.27 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.9%
VALUE EDGE+58.9%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.08
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
W · 98-95L · 105-96L · 91-84L · 71-101L · 77-97
Casey Cavaliers
L · 88-79W · 69-87L · 79-81W · 81-87L · 94-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.27 | NW Tasmania | 84 : 83 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.05.06 | Casey Cavaliers | 79 : 111 | NW Tasmania |