Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
79 : 882024.04.27 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsBallarat
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
W · 88-79W · 74-84W · 72-81L · 85-93W · 85-73
Ballarat
L · 98-95W · 112-81W · 94-105L · 79-81W · 97-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.24 | Ballarat | 110 : 114 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.04.27 | Hobart Chargers | 79 : 88 | Ballarat |
| 2023.04.21 | Hobart Chargers | 83 : 94 | Ballarat |
| 2018.07.14 | Ballarat | 95 : 101 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.05.25 | Hobart Chargers | 95 : 86 | Ballarat |
| 2016.06.04 | Ballarat | 93 : 85 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2015.07.04 | Ballarat | 75 : 85 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2015.05.29 | Hobart Chargers | 83 : 69 | Ballarat |