Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
DandenongHOME · -
78 : 742024.04.27 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
DandenongAnalysis MetricsGeelong
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
L · 95-78W · 79-74W · 71-101L · 85-73L · 75-85
Geelong
W · 67-64L · 103-97L · 81-88W · 79-81W · 72-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.31 | Dandenong | 97 : 88 | Geelong |
| 2024.07.06 | Geelong | 78 : 65 | Dandenong |
| 2024.04.27 | Dandenong | 78 : 74 | Geelong |
| 2023.06.17 | Geelong | 89 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2018.05.25 | Geelong | 99 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2016.06.18 | Geelong | 85 : 94 | Dandenong |
| 2016.04.30 | Dandenong | 87 : 85 | Geelong |
| 2015.08.29 | Geelong | 97 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2015.07.25 | Geelong | 78 : 80 | Dandenong |
| 2015.05.09 | Dandenong | 79 : 101 | Geelong |