Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
89 : 812024.04.27 · 종료
ElthamAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.0%
VALUE EDGE+54.0%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsEltham
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.58
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.42
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
W · 79-89W · 93-94L · 55-87L · 74-80L · 74-89
Eltham
W · 99-59W · 96-75W · 75-85L · 104-91W · 109-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.13 | Eltham | 63 : 77 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.04.27 | Melbourne Tigers | 89 : 81 | Eltham |
| 2023.05.13 | Eltham | 100 : 91 | Melbourne Tigers |