Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KilsythHOME · -
74 : 942024.04.27 · 종료
NunawadingAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
KilsythAnalysis MetricsNunawading
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
194.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
L · 99-59L · 73-112W · 108-81L · 83-109L · 94-65
Nunawading
L · 72-81L · 96-75W · 74-89W · 102-88L · 82-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.27 | Kilsyth | 74 : 94 | Nunawading |
| 2023.06.17 | Kilsyth | 90 : 85 | Nunawading |
| 2023.04.22 | Nunawading | 108 : 92 | Kilsyth |
| 2018.08.11 | Nunawading | 78 : 70 | Kilsyth |
| 2018.05.26 | Kilsyth | 75 : 97 | Nunawading |
| 2016.07.30 | Nunawading | 69 : 63 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.04.17 | Kilsyth | 86 : 74 | Nunawading |