Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
98 : 952024.04.26 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.3%
VALUE EDGE+66.3%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsBallarat
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 105-96L · 91-84L · 71-101L · 77-97W · 85-61
Ballarat
W · 112-81W · 94-105L · 79-81W · 97-86L · 99-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.26 | NW Tasmania | 98 : 95 | Ballarat |
| 2023.06.17 | Ballarat | 102 : 81 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.04.22 | NW Tasmania | 84 : 94 | Ballarat |
| 2018.05.26 | NW Tasmania | 78 : 92 | Ballarat |
| 2018.04.22 | Ballarat | 79 : 75 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.04.23 | NW Tasmania | 95 : 92 | Ballarat |
| 2015.05.30 | NW Tasmania | 85 : 101 | Ballarat |