Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Diamond ValleyHOME · -

79 : 892024.04.21 · 종료

Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.1%

VALUE EDGE+62.1%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEA

Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-1.67 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25

183.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.1 / 15

Prediction separation10.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Diamond Valley

L · 80-104L · 92-74L · 106-110L · 109-73L · 107-86

Melbourne Tigers

W · 93-94L · 55-87L · 74-80L · 74-89L · 82-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.21	Melbourne Tigers	88 : 83	Diamond Valley
2024.04.21	Diamond Valley	79 : 89	Melbourne Tigers
2023.05.21	Melbourne Tigers	75 : 89	Diamond Valley
2018.06.23	Melbourne Tigers	78 : 88	Diamond Valley
2018.04.28	Diamond Valley	78 : 85	Melbourne Tigers