Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
ElthamHOME · -
99 : 592024.04.20 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.0%
VALUE EDGE+80.0%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
ElthamAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+14.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eltham
W · 96-75W · 75-85L · 104-91W · 109-73L · 84-81
Kilsyth
L · 73-112W · 108-81L · 83-109L · 94-65L · 86-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.17 | Eltham | 94 : 76 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.07.06 | Kilsyth | 68 : 87 | Eltham |
| 2024.04.20 | Eltham | 99 : 59 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.07.09 | Kilsyth | 67 : 77 | Eltham |