Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
112 : 812024.04.20 · 종료
RingwoodAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsRingwood
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
W · 94-105L · 79-81W · 97-86L · 99-93W · 105-87
Ringwood
W · 74-80W · 103-99W · 94-91L · 102-88W · 94-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.23 | Ringwood | 93 : 91 | Ballarat |
| 2024.06.23 | Ringwood | 99 : 108 | Ballarat |
| 2024.04.20 | Ballarat | 112 : 81 | Ringwood |