Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Mt GambierHOME · -

91 : 842024.04.19 · 종료

NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY22.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +77.3%

VALUE EDGE+77.3%

FAIR ODDS1.29

GRADEB

Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75

12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 44.4%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

77.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

22.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt Gambier

L · 94-105W · 93-87W · 63-67W · 79-97L · 63-68

NW Tasmania

L · 71-101L · 77-97W · 85-61L · 76-68L · 80-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.19	Mt Gambier	91 : 84	NW Tasmania
2023.07.08	NW Tasmania	80 : 81	Mt Gambier
2018.05.19	NW Tasmania	87 : 77	Mt Gambier
2016.06.18	NW Tasmania	68 : 98	Mt Gambier
2016.06.03	Mt Gambier	106 : 80	NW Tasmania
2015.07.31	Mt Gambier	83 : 80	NW Tasmania