Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
79 : 812024.04.14 · 종료
Bendigo BravesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.4%
VALUE EDGE+50.4%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsBendigo Braves
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
W · 81-87L · 94-91L · 65-94W · 98-63L · 72-83
Bendigo Braves
W · 81-88W · 90-73L · 97-86L · 96-59W · 99-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Bendigo Braves | 84 : 96 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2026.05.17 | Casey Cavaliers | 109 : 76 | Bendigo Braves |
| 2024.05.18 | Bendigo Braves | 81 : 64 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2024.04.14 | Casey Cavaliers | 79 : 81 | Bendigo Braves |
| 2023.06.04 | Bendigo Braves | 78 : 65 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.04.21 | Casey Cavaliers | 92 : 60 | Bendigo Braves |