Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
55 : 872024.04.14 · 종료
KnoxAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.6%
VALUE EDGE+79.6%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsKnox
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.50
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
L · 74-80L · 74-89L · 82-88L · 74-84W · 90-79
Knox
L · 103-99W · 83-109W · 93-109W · 90-85W · 114-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.03 | Melbourne Tigers | 80 : 105 | Knox |
| 2024.04.14 | Melbourne Tigers | 55 : 87 | Knox |
| 2023.05.14 | Melbourne Tigers | 80 : 93 | Knox |