Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
93 : 872024.04.13 · 종료
FrankstonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.8%
VALUE EDGE+62.8%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsFrankston
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.33
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
185.00
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 63-67W · 79-97L · 63-68L · 95-88W · 78-83
Frankston
W · 92-74W · 104-91W · 115-98L · 91-95W · 99-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Frankston | 107 : 116 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.04.13 | Mt Gambier | 93 : 87 | Frankston |
| 2023.04.16 | Frankston | 94 : 103 | Mt Gambier |
| 2018.06.29 | Mt Gambier | 88 : 78 | Frankston |
| 2018.05.05 | Frankston | 75 : 100 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.07.24 | Frankston | 76 : 88 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.05.20 | Mt Gambier | 98 : 81 | Frankston |
| 2015.06.12 | Frankston | 69 : 87 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.05.29 | Mt Gambier | 103 : 59 | Frankston |