Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
71 : 1012024.04.13 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsDandenong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
L · 77-97W · 85-61L · 76-68L · 80-81L · 77-92
Dandenong
L · 85-73L · 75-85W · 65-94W · 82-88W · 72-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.07.14 | Dandenong | 81 : 75 | NW Tasmania |
| 2024.04.13 | NW Tasmania | 71 : 101 | Dandenong |
| 2023.05.20 | Dandenong | 92 : 95 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.06.30 | NW Tasmania | 84 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2018.05.12 | Dandenong | 89 : 81 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.08.07 | Dandenong | 90 : 63 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.05.07 | NW Tasmania | 85 : 77 | Dandenong |
| 2015.07.11 | Dandenong | 94 : 83 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.05.16 | NW Tasmania | 87 : 71 | Dandenong |