Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
85 : 932024.04.13 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.3%
VALUE EDGE+56.3%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsWaverley
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
187.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
W · 85-73L · 85-61W · 76-68W · 97-89W · 102-87
Waverley
W · 77-97L · 63-67L · 90-73L · 97-68L · 72-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Hobart Chargers | 92 : 94 | Waverley |
| 2026.04.12 | Waverley | 90 : 75 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.04.13 | Hobart Chargers | 85 : 93 | Waverley |
| 2023.06.18 | Waverley | 95 : 87 | Hobart Chargers |