Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
74 : 802024.04.13 · 종료
RingwoodAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsRingwood
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.17
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
L · 74-89L · 82-88L · 74-84W · 90-79L · 87-91
Ringwood
W · 103-99W · 94-91L · 102-88W · 94-65L · 91-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Ringwood | 91 : 103 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.04.13 | Melbourne Tigers | 74 : 80 | Ringwood |
| 2023.06.18 | Melbourne Tigers | 100 : 85 | Ringwood |