Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
81 : 882024.04.12 · 종료
Bendigo BravesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsBendigo Braves
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.33
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 79-81W · 72-93W · 116-85L · 104-107L · 75-68
Bendigo Braves
W · 90-73L · 97-86L · 96-59W · 99-93L · 105-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.02 | Bendigo Braves | 83 : 69 | Geelong |
| 2024.04.12 | Geelong | 81 : 88 | Bendigo Braves |
| 2023.05.27 | Bendigo Braves | 109 : 97 | Geelong |
| 2023.04.15 | Geelong | 85 : 96 | Bendigo Braves |