Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Hobart ChargersHOME · -
85 : 732024.04.12 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Hobart ChargersAnalysis MetricsDandenong
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
190.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers
L · 85-61W · 76-68W · 97-89W · 102-87W · 89-102
Dandenong
L · 75-85W · 65-94W · 82-88W · 72-83L · 87-112
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.15 | Hobart Chargers | 94 : 98 | Dandenong |
| 2024.04.12 | Hobart Chargers | 85 : 73 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.15 | Dandenong | 107 : 84 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.07.15 | Dandenong | 90 : 99 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2018.06.29 | Hobart Chargers | 97 : 87 | Dandenong |
| 2016.05.06 | Hobart Chargers | 90 : 72 | Dandenong |
| 2015.05.24 | Dandenong | 83 : 81 | Hobart Chargers |