Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
NW TasmaniaHOME · -
77 : 972024.04.12 · 종료
WaverleyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsWaverley
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.92
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
187.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NW Tasmania
W · 85-61L · 76-68L · 80-81L · 77-92L · 97-85
Waverley
L · 63-67L · 90-73L · 97-68L · 72-93L · 78-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.26 | Waverley | 117 : 77 | NW Tasmania |
| 2024.04.12 | NW Tasmania | 77 : 97 | Waverley |
| 2023.05.07 | Waverley | 91 : 89 | NW Tasmania |