Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KilsythHOME · -
108 : 812024.04.11 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEB
KilsythAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
L · 83-109L · 94-65L · 86-87L · 67-77W · 87-91
Keilor Thunder
W · 106-110L · 115-98L · 98-63L · 116-85L · 97-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.16 | Keilor Thunder | 88 : 99 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.05.25 | Keilor Thunder | 76 : 65 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.04.11 | Kilsyth | 108 : 81 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.05.06 | Keilor Thunder | 98 : 89 | Kilsyth |