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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
FrankstonHOME · -
92 : 742024.04.11 · 종료
Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.4%
VALUE EDGE+76.4%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
FrankstonAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67
185.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.00
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston
W · 104-91W · 115-98L · 91-95W · 99-90W · 83-100
Diamond Valley
L · 106-110L · 109-73L · 107-86W · 91-95W · 82-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.07.11Diamond Valley101 : 108Frankston
2024.04.11Frankston92 : 74Diamond Valley
2023.07.29Frankston91 : 95Diamond Valley
2023.04.22Frankston94 : 78Diamond Valley
2018.07.07Frankston80 : 99Diamond Valley