Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

DandenongHOME · -

75 : 852024.04.10 · 종료

ElthamAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.3%

VALUE EDGE+50.3%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEA

DandenongAnalysis MetricsEltham

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better +14.58

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation0.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dandenong

W · 65-94W · 82-88W · 72-83L · 87-112L · 89-104

Eltham

L · 104-91W · 109-73L · 84-81W · 97-68W · 95-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.08.01	Eltham	87 : 69	Dandenong
2026.04.12	Dandenong	87 : 75	Eltham
2024.04.10	Dandenong	75 : 85	Eltham
2023.05.07	Eltham	99 : 76	Dandenong