Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Diamond ValleyHOME · -
106 : 1102024.04.09 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.1%
VALUE EDGE+72.1%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
183.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Valley
L · 109-73L · 107-86W · 91-95W · 82-89L · 97-69
Keilor Thunder
L · 115-98L · 98-63L · 116-85L · 97-89W · 77-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.02 | Diamond Valley | 98 : 101 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.07.05 | Keilor Thunder | 112 : 93 | Diamond Valley |
| 2024.04.09 | Diamond Valley | 106 : 110 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.06.24 | Keilor Thunder | 89 : 91 | Diamond Valley |
| 2023.04.29 | Diamond Valley | 85 : 93 | Keilor Thunder |