Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

WaverleyHOME · -

63 : 672024.04.07 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.7%

VALUE EDGE+60.7%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADEB

WaverleyAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-5.92 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

187.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.0 / 15

Prediction separation9.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Waverley

L · 90-73L · 97-68L · 72-93L · 78-83W · 89-104

Mt Gambier

W · 79-97L · 63-68L · 95-88W · 78-83W · 80-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.25	Mt Gambier	85 : 110	Waverley
2024.04.07	Waverley	63 : 67	Mt Gambier
2023.07.15	Waverley	78 : 83	Mt Gambier
2023.05.12	Mt Gambier	71 : 77	Waverley