Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
74 : 892024.04.07 · 종료
NunawadingAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.9%
VALUE EDGE+58.9%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsNunawading
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
194.00
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
L · 82-88L · 74-84W · 90-79L · 87-91L · 82-73
Nunawading
W · 102-88L · 82-89W · 91-87L · 83-100L · 97-107
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.31 | Melbourne Tigers | 93 : 95 | Nunawading |
| 2024.05.25 | Nunawading | 78 : 84 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.04.07 | Melbourne Tigers | 74 : 89 | Nunawading |
| 2023.05.27 | Nunawading | 103 : 64 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2023.04.20 | Melbourne Tigers | 82 : 79 | Nunawading |
| 2018.07.13 | Nunawading | 104 : 62 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2018.04.08 | Melbourne Tigers | 94 : 113 | Nunawading |
| 2016.08.07 | Melbourne Tigers | 69 : 105 | Nunawading |
| 2016.04.01 | Nunawading | 85 : 62 | Melbourne Tigers |