Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

FrankstonHOME · -

104 : 912024.04.07 · 종료

ElthamAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY33.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +66.4%

VALUE EDGE+66.4%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADEB

FrankstonAnalysis MetricsEltham

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

+6.33 Point MarginHigher is better +14.58

185.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.42

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.8 / 15

Prediction separation14.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

66.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

33.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Frankston

W · 115-98L · 91-95W · 99-90W · 83-100W · 90-69

Eltham

W · 109-73L · 84-81W · 97-68W · 95-88W · 97-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.08.15	Eltham	75 : 78	Frankston
2026.04.15	Eltham	95 : 81	Frankston
2024.08.03	Frankston	74 : 76	Eltham
2024.04.07	Frankston	104 : 91	Eltham
2023.06.17	Frankston	90 : 78	Eltham