Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

ElthamHOME · -

109 : 732024.04.06 · 종료

Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.4%

VALUE EDGE+75.4%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADEA

ElthamAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+14.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67

169.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.00

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Eltham

L · 84-81W · 97-68W · 95-88W · 97-69W · 67-77

Diamond Valley

L · 107-86W · 91-95W · 82-89L · 97-69L · 105-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.30	Eltham	105 : 83	Diamond Valley
2026.03.28	Diamond Valley	66 : 76	Eltham
2024.06.01	Diamond Valley	87 : 80	Eltham
2024.04.06	Eltham	109 : 73	Diamond Valley
2023.07.15	Eltham	97 : 69	Diamond Valley
2023.04.01	Diamond Valley	77 : 87	Eltham