Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Sandringham SabresHOME · -

79 : 972024.04.06 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.2%

VALUE EDGE+59.2%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEA

Sandringham SabresAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+3.08 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

188.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation7.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Sandringham Sabres

L · 93-109L · 90-86W · 107-86W · 90-97W · 74-84

Mt Gambier

L · 63-68L · 95-88W · 78-83W · 80-81L · 102-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.03	Sandringham Sabres	112 : 99	Mt Gambier
2024.07.20	Mt Gambier	59 : 75	Sandringham Sabres
2024.04.06	Sandringham Sabres	79 : 97	Mt Gambier
2023.05.19	Mt Gambier	84 : 95	Sandringham Sabres
2023.04.01	Sandringham Sabres	89 : 119	Mt Gambier