Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
82 : 882024.04.04 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.8%
VALUE EDGE+73.8%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsDandenong
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
L · 74-84W · 90-79L · 87-91L · 82-73W · 71-72
Dandenong
W · 72-83L · 87-112L · 89-104L · 90-71L · 98-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | Melbourne Tigers | 99 : 76 | Dandenong |
| 2024.04.04 | Melbourne Tigers | 82 : 88 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.22 | Dandenong | 82 : 95 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2018.07.14 | Melbourne Tigers | 80 : 72 | Dandenong |
| 2018.07.07 | Dandenong | 83 : 75 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2016.07.30 | Melbourne Tigers | 89 : 111 | Dandenong |
| 2016.07.17 | Dandenong | 85 : 86 | Melbourne Tigers |