Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

BallaratHOME · -

97 : 862024.04.03 · 종료

Bendigo BravesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.2%

VALUE EDGE+68.2%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

BallaratAnalysis MetricsBendigo Braves

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better -10.33

203.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.00

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ballarat

L · 99-93W · 105-87W · 104-107W · 82-68W · 96-97

Bendigo Braves

L · 96-59W · 99-93L · 105-65W · 97-107L · 94-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.09	Bendigo Braves	94 : 83	Ballarat
2026.03.28	Ballarat	79 : 89	Bendigo Braves
2024.06.01	Bendigo Braves	75 : 76	Ballarat
2024.04.03	Ballarat	97 : 86	Bendigo Braves
2023.07.15	Bendigo Braves	99 : 93	Ballarat
2023.04.06	Ballarat	118 : 100	Bendigo Braves