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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia · NBL1 South - Semi-finals
Sandringham SabresHOME · -
107 : 862023.08.05 · 종료
Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.5%
VALUE EDGE+77.5%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Sandringham SabresAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+3.08 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67
188.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.00
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sandringham Sabres
W · 90-97W · 74-84L · 99-90W · 105-65L · 89-102
Diamond Valley
W · 91-95W · 82-89L · 97-69L · 105-87L · 99-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.10Diamond Valley90 : 113Sandringham Sabres
2024.04.20Diamond Valley80 : 104Sandringham Sabres
2023.08.05Sandringham Sabres107 : 86Diamond Valley
2023.05.27Diamond Valley84 : 85Sandringham Sabres