Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia · NBL1 South - Semi-finals
Mt GambierHOME · -
63 : 682023.08.04 · 종료
KnoxAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADES
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsKnox
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.50
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.67
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
L · 95-88W · 78-83W · 80-81L · 102-87W · 90-71
Knox
W · 84-81L · 90-97W · 96-59W · 86-87W · 87-112
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.03 | Mt Gambier | 76 : 97 | Knox |
| 2026.05.02 | Knox | 108 : 111 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.07.05 | Mt Gambier | 93 : 85 | Knox |
| 2024.05.18 | Knox | 77 : 98 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.08.04 | Mt Gambier | 63 : 68 | Knox |
| 2023.05.27 | Mt Gambier | 63 : 77 | Knox |