Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia · NBL1 South - Quarter-finals

KnoxHOME · -

84 : 812023.07.29 · 종료

ElthamAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.8%

VALUE EDGE+72.8%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADEB

KnoxAnalysis MetricsEltham

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

+7.50 Point MarginHigher is better +14.58

188.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.42

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Knox

L · 90-97W · 96-59W · 86-87W · 87-112W · 99-70

Eltham

W · 97-68W · 95-88W · 97-69W · 67-77L · 82-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.10	Knox	77 : 84	Eltham
2024.08.17	Knox	90 : 66	Eltham
2023.07.29	Knox	84 : 81	Eltham
2023.06.24	Eltham	67 : 103	Knox