Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia · NBL1 South - Quarter-finals

FrankstonHOME · -
91 : 952023.07.29 · 종료
Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.6%
VALUE EDGE+72.6%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
FrankstonAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+6.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
185.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
183.00
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston
W · 99-90W · 83-100W · 90-69L · 90-98W · 90-95
Diamond Valley
W · 82-89L · 97-69L · 105-87L · 99-70W · 97-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.11 | Diamond Valley | 101 : 108 | Frankston |
| 2024.04.11 | Frankston | 92 : 74 | Diamond Valley |
| 2023.07.29 | Frankston | 91 : 95 | Diamond Valley |
| 2023.04.22 | Frankston | 94 : 78 | Diamond Valley |
| 2018.07.07 | Frankston | 80 : 99 | Diamond Valley |