Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
98 : 632023.07.16 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.6%
VALUE EDGE+51.6%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 72-83L · 90-79L · 90-69L · 80-95L · 54-90
Keilor Thunder
L · 116-85L · 97-89W · 77-92L · 90-105L · 88-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.05 | Keilor Thunder | 98 : 97 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2026.06.14 | Casey Cavaliers | 67 : 78 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.04.20 | Keilor Thunder | 69 : 87 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.07.16 | Casey Cavaliers | 98 : 63 | Keilor Thunder |