Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
WaverleyHOME · -
72 : 932023.07.16 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.0%
VALUE EDGE+50.0%
FAIR ODDS2.00
GRADEB
WaverleyAnalysis MetricsGeelong
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
187.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley
L · 78-83W · 89-104L · 94-84W · 82-73L · 98-94
Geelong
W · 116-85L · 104-107L · 75-68L · 71-72W · 96-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.24 | Waverley | 88 : 99 | Geelong |
| 2024.07.12 | Geelong | 102 : 74 | Waverley |
| 2023.07.16 | Waverley | 72 : 93 | Geelong |