Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Melbourne TigersHOME · -
74 : 842023.07.16 · 종료
Sandringham SabresAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Melbourne TigersAnalysis MetricsSandringham Sabres
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
167.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
188.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers
W · 90-79L · 87-91L · 82-73W · 71-72W · 100-85
Sandringham Sabres
L · 99-90W · 105-65L · 89-102L · 88-96W · 87-110
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.08.01 | Melbourne Tigers | 72 : 68 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2026.07.09 | Melbourne Tigers | 97 : 101 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2026.04.16 | Sandringham Sabres | 66 : 81 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2024.05.04 | Sandringham Sabres | 85 : 71 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 2023.07.16 | Melbourne Tigers | 74 : 84 | Sandringham Sabres |
| 2023.06.08 | Sandringham Sabres | 99 : 74 | Melbourne Tigers |