Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
ElthamHOME · -
95 : 882023.07.16 · 종료
Mt GambierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.0%
VALUE EDGE+64.0%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
ElthamAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+14.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eltham
W · 97-69W · 67-77L · 82-68W · 98-94L · 96-81
Mt Gambier
W · 78-83W · 80-81L · 102-87W · 90-71W · 94-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.17 | Eltham | 95 : 77 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.07.27 | Mt Gambier | 82 : 91 | Eltham |
| 2024.05.24 | Mt Gambier | 89 : 91 | Eltham |
| 2023.07.16 | Eltham | 95 : 88 | Mt Gambier |