Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
WaverleyHOME · -
78 : 832023.07.15 · 종료
Mt GambierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEB
WaverleyAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-5.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
187.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley
W · 89-104L · 94-84W · 82-73L · 98-94W · 54-90
Mt Gambier
W · 80-81L · 102-87W · 90-71W · 94-65W · 100-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.25 | Mt Gambier | 85 : 110 | Waverley |
| 2024.04.07 | Waverley | 63 : 67 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.07.15 | Waverley | 78 : 83 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.05.12 | Mt Gambier | 71 : 77 | Waverley |