Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

KilsythHOME · -

86 : 872023.07.15 · 종료

KnoxAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY75.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +75.3%

VALUE EDGE+75.3%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADEA

KilsythAnalysis MetricsKnox

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better +7.50

180.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.67

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

24.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

75.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth

L · 67-77W · 87-91W · 90-98L · 87-77L · 96-97

Knox

W · 87-112W · 99-70W · 85-80W · 67-103W · 103-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.11	Knox	102 : 89	Kilsyth
2024.06.01	Knox	99 : 84	Kilsyth
2024.04.06	Kilsyth	83 : 109	Knox
2023.07.15	Kilsyth	86 : 87	Knox
2023.04.15	Knox	81 : 88	Kilsyth