Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
72 : 832023.07.15 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsDandenong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 90-79L · 90-69L · 80-95L · 54-90L · 96-81
Dandenong
L · 87-112L · 89-104L · 90-71L · 98-96L · 90-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.10 | Casey Cavaliers | 84 : 89 | Dandenong |
| 2026.03.28 | Dandenong | 92 : 81 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2024.04.06 | Casey Cavaliers | 65 : 94 | Dandenong |
| 2023.07.15 | Casey Cavaliers | 72 : 83 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.01 | Dandenong | 97 : 72 | Casey Cavaliers |