Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Bendigo BravesHOME · -

99 : 932023.07.15 · 종료

BallaratAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.8%

VALUE EDGE+51.8%

FAIR ODDS1.93

GRADEA

Bendigo BravesAnalysis MetricsBallarat

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

170.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.58

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation1.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Bendigo Braves

L · 105-65W · 97-107L · 94-65W · 88-89W · 78-65

Ballarat

W · 105-87W · 104-107W · 82-68W · 96-97L · 85-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.09	Bendigo Braves	94 : 83	Ballarat
2026.03.28	Ballarat	79 : 89	Bendigo Braves
2024.06.01	Bendigo Braves	75 : 76	Ballarat
2024.04.03	Ballarat	97 : 86	Bendigo Braves
2023.07.15	Bendigo Braves	99 : 93	Ballarat
2023.04.06	Ballarat	118 : 100	Bendigo Braves