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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
DandenongHOME · -
87 : 1122023.07.09 · 종료
KnoxAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +81.5%
VALUE EDGE+81.5%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
DandenongAnalysis MetricsKnox
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better +7.50
184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.67
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
18.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
81.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
L · 89-104L · 90-71L · 98-96L · 90-95L · 89-73
Knox
W · 99-70W · 85-80W · 67-103W · 103-69W · 76-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.23Dandenong102 : 87Knox
2026.04.11Knox117 : 106Dandenong
2024.07.20Dandenong98 : 91Knox
2024.04.20Dandenong79 : 74Knox
2023.07.09Dandenong87 : 112Knox