Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Australia

BallaratHOME · -

105 : 872023.07.09 · 종료

Diamond ValleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.2%

VALUE EDGE+53.2%

FAIR ODDS1.88

GRADEA

BallaratAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67

203.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 183.00

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation2.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ballarat

W · 104-107W · 82-68W · 96-97L · 85-105W · 102-81

Diamond Valley

L · 99-70W · 97-85W · 87-77W · 89-91W · 96-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.29	Ballarat	112 : 97	Diamond Valley
2024.05.26	Ballarat	99 : 96	Diamond Valley
2023.07.09	Ballarat	105 : 87	Diamond Valley
2023.05.06	Diamond Valley	87 : 75	Ballarat
2018.07.21	Diamond Valley	66 : 76	Ballarat
2018.06.17	Ballarat	80 : 83	Diamond Valley