Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

NW TasmaniaHOME · -

80 : 812023.07.08 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY72.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +72.4%

VALUE EDGE+72.4%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADEA

NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

27.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

72.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NW Tasmania

L · 77-92L · 97-85L · 85-80W · 92-79L · 93-68

Mt Gambier

L · 102-87W · 90-71W · 94-65W · 100-90W · 85-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.19	Mt Gambier	91 : 84	NW Tasmania
2023.07.08	NW Tasmania	80 : 81	Mt Gambier
2018.05.19	NW Tasmania	87 : 77	Mt Gambier
2016.06.18	NW Tasmania	68 : 98	Mt Gambier
2016.06.03	Mt Gambier	106 : 80	NW Tasmania
2015.07.31	Mt Gambier	83 : 80	NW Tasmania