Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

DandenongHOME · -

89 : 1042023.07.08 · 종료

WaverleyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY58.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +58.1%

VALUE EDGE+58.1%

FAIR ODDS1.72

GRADEA

DandenongAnalysis MetricsWaverley

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -5.92

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 187.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.2 / 15

Prediction separation6.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

41.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

58.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dandenong

L · 90-71L · 98-96L · 90-95L · 89-73L · 84-81

Waverley

L · 94-84W · 82-73L · 98-94W · 54-90W · 95-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.03	Waverley	85 : 98	Dandenong
2024.04.30	Waverley	90 : 82	Dandenong
2023.07.08	Dandenong	89 : 104	Waverley
2023.05.14	Waverley	87 : 79	Dandenong